Burgos 0-2 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 39% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.83
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
12%
7.41
X/2
18%
4.3
X/X
17%
4.33
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.71
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.56/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.00
-57% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mallorca
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.91 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
292 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Burgos Burgos 0-3 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-2
AWAY Mallorca
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca beat Burgos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burgos had 44% of the ball to Mallorca's 56%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Mallorca?

Burgos 0-2 Mallorca in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burgos 29%, draw 30%, Mallorca 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
3 Aug 2024
13:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Newcastle Analysis →
14:00 Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda Analysis →
14:00 Bayern Münih vs Tottenham Analysis →
14:30 Hoffenheim vs Ipswich Town Analysis →
15:00 Sheffield Wednesday vs Leganes Analysis →
15:00 Millwall vs Southampton Analysis →