Bayern Münih 2-1 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

Bayern Münih
2-1 HT 1-0
Tottenham
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Bayern Münih vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.31
No
43%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.3
2-3 Goals
36%
2.34
4-5 Goals
28%
2.38
6+ Goals
16%
4.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
1/X
7%
11.7
X/1
9%
5.67
X/2
16%
7.4
X/X
6%
6.57
2/1
8%
19.75
2/2
14%
3.97
2/X
9%
11.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.7pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern Münih v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 36%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.63/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.14
-66% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 85%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
13.2 Crosses 11.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.5

Bayern Münih vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Tottenham
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 1.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
537 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.12.2019 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-1 HT 2-1 Tottenham Tottenham ŞMP
01.10.2019 Tottenham Tottenham 2-7 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ŞMP
31.07.2019 Tottenham Tottenham 2-2 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih HAZ

Bayern Münih 2-1 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
2-1
AWAY Tottenham
2.00 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
371 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
47 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih squeezed past Tottenham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Bayern Münih made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 52% of the ball to Tottenham's 48%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.67 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Tottenham?

Bayern Münih 2-1 Tottenham in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 37%, draw 22%, Tottenham 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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