Burgos 0-3 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
45%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.98
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.0
1/2
12%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
12%
5.05
X/2
15%
5.34
X/X
15%
3.4
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
4.31
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
36%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
45%
Away Win
33%
+12.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-3
AWAY Mallorca
0.91 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
292 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca ran out comfortable winners over Burgos 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 46% of the ball to Mallorca's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.91 to 1.43.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Mallorca?

Burgos 0-3 Mallorca in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Burgos 26%, draw 29%, Mallorca 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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