Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eibar v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Eibar
HAZ
1-1
HT 1-1
Eibar
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Eibar
İS1
Eibar 0-3 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao cruised past Eibar 3-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Eibar had 49% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 51%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.83 to 1.01.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eibar and 1.17 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao?
Eibar 0-3 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Eibar 25%, draw 22%, Athletic Bilbao 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.