Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Malaga vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Real Sociedad
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Malaga
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Malaga
İS1
0-2
HT 0-0
Real Sociedad
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS1
3-1
HT 2-1
Real Sociedad
İS1
Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Real Sociedad squeezed past Malaga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Malaga had 39% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 61%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.92 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malaga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malaga and 1.00 for Real Sociedad.
What was the final score of Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Malaga 17%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.