Racing Ferrol 1-2 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.33
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
11%
7.66
X/2
13%
4.02
X/X
18%
4.27
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.58
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
Crosses 16.2
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sevilla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.04.2001 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS2
26.11.2000 Sevilla Sevilla 3-0 HT 2-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-2
AWAY Sevilla
0.24 xG 1.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
264 Passes 413
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Racing Ferrol 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sevilla as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 42% of the ball to Sevilla's 58%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.24 to 1.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sevilla's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Racing Ferrol and 2.00 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Sevilla?

Racing Ferrol 1-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 29%, draw 31%, Sevilla 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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