Southampton vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Millwall — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNLK
2-3
HT 2-1
Southampton
İNCL
2-3
HT 1-1
Millwall
FAK
1-1
HT 0-1
Southampton
FAK
1-0
HT 1-0
Millwall
İNCL
Southampton 1-2 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall edged past Southampton 2-1 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Southampton at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Southampton had 80% of the ball to Millwall's 20%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.56 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Southampton and 1.00 for Millwall.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Millwall?
Southampton 1-2 Millwall in the England - Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Millwall?
Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Southampton 62%, draw 20%, Millwall 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Southampton), BTTS No went the other way.