Cardiff City vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff City v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff City vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
2-2
HT 2-1
Cardiff City
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-1
Stoke City
İNCL
3-3
HT 2-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City edged past Stoke City 2-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cardiff City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cardiff City had 40% of the ball to Stoke City's 60%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.92 — on chances, Stoke City could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cardiff City and 1.17 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 36%, draw 30%, Stoke City 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.