Sunderland 1-2 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 24 Feb 2024

Sunderland
1-2 HT 0-2
Swansea City
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sunderland vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.91
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
24%
4.64
X/2
8%
6.87
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
7%
5.05
2/X
11%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.36/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.37
-1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.2 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sunderland vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Swansea City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 373
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
14.01.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 1-3 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.10.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 2-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
13.05.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-2 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNP
10.12.2016 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
13.01.2016 Swansea City Swansea City 2-4 HT 2-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNP

Sunderland 1-2 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
1-2
AWAY Swansea City
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
397 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City edged past Sunderland 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland had 55% of the ball to Swansea City's 45%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunderland and 2.00 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Swansea City?

Sunderland 1-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 49%, draw 28%, Swansea City 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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