Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Newcastle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.0
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
11.8
2-3 Goals
36%
2.75
4-5 Goals
33%
2.3
6+ Goals
12%
3.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.67
1/2
8%
16.05
1/X
4%
13.9
X/1
12%
10.45
X/2
14%
4.78
X/X
9%
8.52
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
26%
1.99
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-15.9pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle EU Bookmakers 61%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
6.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.01
+150% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 505 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2-0
AWAY Newcastle
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Newcastle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos beat Newcastle 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 47% of the ball to Newcastle's 53%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Newcastle?

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Newcastle in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Newcastle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 32%, draw 20%, Newcastle 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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