Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Telstar v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar nicked a narrow win over Telstar 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: AZ Alkmaar saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.02 to 1.08.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Telstar against 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar.
Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar Result & Final Score
Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Telstar 29%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.