Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Groningen v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Groningen 1-2 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Sittard found just enough to beat Groningen 2-1 away from home.
File this under upsets: a 64% lean on Groningen went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Groningen's favour, shots finished 25-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Groningen against 1.33 for Fortuna Sittard.
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Result & Final Score
Groningen 1-2 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Groningen 64%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.