Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v Groningen — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Groningen
HOL
2-3
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics
Groningen edged past Fortuna Sittard 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Groningen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 57% of the ball to Groningen's 43%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.09 to 1.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 0.67 for Groningen.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen?
Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 38%, draw 26%, Groningen 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), Under 2.5 went the other way.