Volendam 3-0 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Oct 2025

Volendam
3-0 HT 1-0
Heracles
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Volendam vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.71
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.86
X/2
13%
7.3
X/X
9%
5.39
2/1
6%
22.25
2/2
9%
5.07
2/X
5%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Heracles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.80/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.52
+20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.9 Crosses 18.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Volendam vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Heracles
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
23.09.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
20.07.2019 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HAZ
24.07.2018 Heracles Heracles 5-2 HT 3-0 Volendam Volendam HAZ
14.03.2009 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
21.12.2008 Volendam Volendam 3-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL

Volendam 3-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-0
AWAY Heracles
1.54 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam swept aside Heracles 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Volendam had 57% of the ball to Heracles's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.54 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Volendam and 1.83 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Heracles?

Volendam 3-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Volendam 49%, draw 20%, Heracles 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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