Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Oct 2025

Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 HT 1-0
Telstar
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
15%
4.67
X/2
10%
8.66
X/X
10%
5.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.35
2/2
12%
6.0
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.3 Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards –

Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Telstar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3.00 xG 0.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 191
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.01.2019 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
26.10.2018 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.02.2016 Telstar Telstar 1-3 HT 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2
25.09.2015 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.04.2015 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
03.10.2014 Telstar Telstar 4-3 HT 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL2

Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-0
AWAY Telstar
1.79 xG 0.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
313 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam nicked a narrow win over Telstar 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 47% of the ball to Telstar's 53%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.79 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.67 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 47%, draw 25%, Telstar 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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