PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.14/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.37
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
15.0 Crosses 30.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
0W-2D-4L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
347 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
29.10.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4-3 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOK
24.08.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
14.04.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
09.12.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
05.02.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 1-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
2-2
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.83 xG 0.77
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
178 Passes 385
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was NEC Nijmegen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 35% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 65%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.83 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PEC Zwolle and 2.00 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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