NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-1
HT 1-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
2-0
HT 2-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOK
NEC Nijmegen 4-3 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen squeezed past PEC Zwolle 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 50% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 50%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 1.89 to 1.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.00 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
NEC Nijmegen 4-3 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 46%, draw 27%, PEC Zwolle 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.