Noordwijk vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Noordwijk v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals
Noordwijk 2-1 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics
Noordwijk nicked a narrow win over Dordrecht 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dordrecht at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Noordwijk had 42% of the ball to Dordrecht's 58%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.60 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dordrecht.
What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Dordrecht?
Noordwijk 2-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Dordrecht?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 22%, draw 20%, Dordrecht 58%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dordrecht), BTTS No went the other way.