ADO Den Haag 1-4 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-11.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 0.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
214 Passes 370
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
12.11.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
24.01.2016 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
25.10.2015 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
17.01.2015 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
30.08.2014 Cambuur Cambuur 3-2 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
1-4
AWAY Cambuur
1.75 xG 2.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
361 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur ran out comfortable winners over ADO Den Haag 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Cambuur made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 57% of the ball to Cambuur's 43%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.75 to 2.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.50 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur?

ADO Den Haag 1-4 Cambuur in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 35%, draw 30%, Cambuur 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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