De Treffers 1-4 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Treffers EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 69%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.32/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.32
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
6.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Treffers
1-4
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
0.36 xG 2.72
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
151 Passes 357
60% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH De Treffers vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard ran out comfortable winners over De Treffers 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, De Treffers had 36% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 64%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.36 to 2.72.

What was the final score of De Treffers vs Fortuna Sittard?

De Treffers 1-4 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Treffers vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split De Treffers 24%, draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard 56%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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