Ijsselmeervogels 2-3 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
55%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.0pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.8pp
55%
Away Win
75%
-19.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ijsselmeervogels EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 80%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.12/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.62
-78% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 85%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 49.0
11.6 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ijsselmeervogels
2-3
AWAY Heerenveen
1.37 xG 3.12
25% Ball Possession 75%
12 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 14
3 Corners 12
131 Passes 514
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 51
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ijsselmeervogels vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen squeezed past Ijsselmeervogels 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ijsselmeervogels had 25% of the ball to Heerenveen's 75%, shots finished 12-27, expected goals 1.37 to 3.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Heerenveen's control.

What was the final score of Ijsselmeervogels vs Heerenveen?

Ijsselmeervogels 2-3 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ijsselmeervogels vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ijsselmeervogels 21%, draw 24%, Heerenveen 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOK More Netherlands - KNVB Cup
29 Oct 2024
20:45 NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →
23:00 Noordwijk vs Dordrecht Analysis →
23:00 Rijnvogels vs FC Eindhoven Analysis →
23:00 Excelsior vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
23:00 ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur Analysis →
23:00 De Treffers vs Fortuna Sittard Analysis →