NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-1
HT 1-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
2-0
HT 2-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOK
2-0
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 1-0 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen edged past PEC Zwolle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 54% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 46%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.97 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold NEC Nijmegen's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.33 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
NEC Nijmegen 1-0 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 54%, draw 25%, PEC Zwolle 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.