Almere City 1-7 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Aug 2024

Almere City
1-7 HT 0-2
PSV Eindhoven
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Almere City vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
67%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.47
2-3 Goals
35%
2.37
4-5 Goals
31%
2.37
6+ Goals
15%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
20.55
1/2
6%
20.15
1/X
5%
27.5
X/1
8%
30.0
X/2 EV+ ✗
29%
3.64
X/X
5%
12.25
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.29
2/X
6%
29.0
Value flag · X/2 at 3.64 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.4pp
16%
Draw
13%
+3.0pp
67%
Away Win
80%
-12.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 85%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.90/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.85
-54% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 85%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.3
17.2 Crosses 21.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Almere City vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
0.40 xG 3.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 8
192 Passes 352
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 33
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Almere City Almere City 0-4 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
29.10.2014 Almere City Almere City 1-5 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK

Almere City 1-7 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-7
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.26 xG 3.39
26% Ball Possession 74%
3 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 9
146 Passes 561
65% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 47
6 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almere City vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven swept aside Almere City 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almere City had 26% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 74%, shots finished 3-20, expected goals 0.26 to 3.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Almere City and 4.50 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Almere City vs PSV Eindhoven?

Almere City 1-7 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Almere City 17%, draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven 67%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2024
19:45 NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →
22:00 NAC Breda vs Utrecht Analysis →