Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Groningen v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Groningen
HOL
2-3
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
1-4
HT 1-2
Groningen
HOL
Groningen 1-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
Groningen nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Sittard 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Groningen had 57% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 43%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 1.20 to 0.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Groningen and 1.50 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Groningen 1-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Groningen 47%, draw 27%, Fortuna Sittard 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.