Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 16 Mar 2025

Go Ahead Eagles
1-0
Willem II
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
32%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
20%
4.08
X/2
6%
12.85
X/X
9%
6.0
2/1 EV+
7%
21.7
2/2
6%
10.4
2/X
5%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-6.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
2.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.67
+22% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.5 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Willem II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
363 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
08.04.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
27.11.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
16.04.2017 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
25.11.2016 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
27.10.2015 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOK

Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1-0
AWAY Willem II
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
518 Passes 165
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles squeezed past Willem II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 72% of the ball to Willem II's 28%, shots finished 22-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.17 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II?

Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 63%, draw 20%, Willem II 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5
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