Twente 2-6 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.52
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.39
X/2
14%
5.96
X/X
9%
4.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
11%
4.12
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+6.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.56/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.83
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.9 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Feyenoord
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
293 Passes 378
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 2-0 Twente Twente HOL
28.01.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
29.10.2023 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
29.01.2023 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
09.10.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
15.05.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
2-6
AWAY Feyenoord
1.05 xG 3.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
366 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Twente vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord swept aside Twente 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Twente at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Twente had 54% of the ball to Feyenoord's 46%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.05 to 3.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Twente and 1.17 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Twente vs Feyenoord?

Twente 2-6 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Twente 46%, draw 23%, Feyenoord 31%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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