Willem II 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.66
No
59%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.64
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
10%
5.56
X/2
11%
5.69
X/X
19%
4.63
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.76
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.2pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.13/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.39
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.6 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.74 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
320 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
27.11.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
16.04.2017 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
25.11.2016 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
27.10.2015 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOK
18.01.2015 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
2-0
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.25 xG 0.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
380 Passes 432
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II saw off Go Ahead Eagles 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Willem II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Willem II had 47% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 53%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.25 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Willem II and 0.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Willem II 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Willem II 33%, draw 32%, Go Ahead Eagles 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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