NAC Breda vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NAC Breda v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
NAC Breda vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 1-0
NAC Breda
HOL
0-3
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
3-1
HT 2-1
NAC Breda
HOL
0-8
HT 0-5
Ajax
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL
2-5
HT 0-3
Ajax
HOL
NAC Breda 2-1 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
NAC Breda edged past Ajax 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ajax at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, NAC Breda had 25% of the ball to Ajax's 75%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.06 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for NAC Breda and 4.00 for Ajax.
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Ajax?
NAC Breda 2-1 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Ajax?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 24%, draw 23%, Ajax 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax) went the other way.