Heracles 1-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
67%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.52
2-3 Goals
38%
2.5
4-5 Goals
33%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
3.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
21.85
1/2
7%
19.85
1/X
8%
28.5
X/1
7%
32.5
X/2
22%
3.72
X/X
4%
13.15
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.26
2/X
4%
30.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.3pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.8pp
66%
Away Win
81%
-14.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 85%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.31/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.84
+46% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 85%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.4
13.6 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.56 xG 2.63
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
251 Passes 602
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 43
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
07.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HAZ
04.11.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-6 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
06.03.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
14.08.2021 Heracles Heracles 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
04.04.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
1-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.20 xG 2.44
25% Ball Possession 75%
6 Total Shots 32
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
153 Passes 620
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 57
8 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven got the better of Heracles 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Heracles had 25% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 75%, shots finished 6-32, expected goals 1.20 to 2.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Heracles and 2.83 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven?

Heracles 1-3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Heracles 17%, draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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