Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v Groningen — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Groningen
HOL
2-3
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
1-4
HT 1-2
Groningen
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Sittard edged past Groningen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 53% of the ball to Groningen's 47%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.33 for Groningen.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen?
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Groningen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 43%, draw 22%, Groningen 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.