Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 26 Oct 2024

Heerenveen
2-0 HT 1-0
Sparta Rotterdam
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
16%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.06
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
15%
5.35
X/2
12%
6.53
X/X
13%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.05
2/X
6%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +28%
1.46/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
-6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.4 Crosses 16.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
409 Passes 351
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
27.08.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
15.04.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
05.08.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.04.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
11.12.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
2-0
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.92 xG 0.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 426
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
37 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen beat Sparta Rotterdam 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Heerenveen made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen had 43% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 57%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.92 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Heerenveen and 1.67 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 40%, draw 25%, Sparta Rotterdam 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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