PSV Eindhoven 6-0 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.94
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.95
2-3 Goals
34%
2.54
4-5 Goals
31%
2.32
6+ Goals
17%
3.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.23
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
33.0
X/1
19%
3.71
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
5%
14.25
2/1
9%
20.15
2/2
5%
24.45
2/X
8%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.2pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.6pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.81/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.61
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
467 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
44.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
24.5 Crosses 11.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6W-0D-0L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.61 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
454 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-7 HT 1-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.11.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
15.05.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.10.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
13.05.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2 HT 3-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
18.10.2020 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-3 HT 0-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6-0
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.30 xG 0.09
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
611 Passes 168
90% Pass Accuracy 70%
55 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven cruised past PEC Zwolle 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 74% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 26%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.30 to 0.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.83 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?

PSV Eindhoven 6-0 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 67%, draw 17%, PEC Zwolle 16%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5
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