PEC Zwolle 1-7 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Feb 2024

PEC Zwolle
1-7 HT 1-2
PSV Eindhoven
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
58%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.01
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
17.15
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
4%
24.0
X/1
4%
23.6
X/2
19%
3.54
X/X
12%
9.26
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.4
2/X
7%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-16.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 79%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.05/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.93
-36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 532 · 86%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.3
15.9 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.07 xG 2.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 444
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
15.05.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.10.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
13.05.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2 HT 3-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
18.10.2020 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-3 HT 0-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
21.12.2019 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-1 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

PEC Zwolle 1-7 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-7
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.37 xG 3.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 7
268 Passes 440
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 53
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven cruised past PEC Zwolle 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 41% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 59%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 0.37 to 3.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 3.33 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven?

PEC Zwolle 1-7 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 19%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 58%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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