Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.72
No
47%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.29
2-3
38%
1.79
4-5
26%
3.47
6+
9%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.78
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.82
X/2
11%
7.49
X/X
14%
4.76
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
5.53
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Utrecht The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam The Market 30%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.93 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.08
1.16 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.46
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.9 Crosses 17.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.64 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
350 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
14.05.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.11.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
23.05.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.05.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
26.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
0-1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.33 xG 0.63
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
406 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sparta Rotterdam found just enough to beat Utrecht 1-0 away from home.

We leaned Utrecht at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.

The match data tells the story: Utrecht had 59% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 41%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Utrecht.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Utrecht and 1.17 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Result & Final Score

Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 47%, draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ BTTS Yes
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