Utrecht 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 May 2025

Utrecht
1-1 HT 1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.44
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
4.88
X/2
7%
8.66
X/X
15%
5.57
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
12%
5.98
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.82/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.39
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
26.7 Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
352 Passes 372
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
23.05.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.05.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
26.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
04.06.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
01.06.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

Utrecht 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
1-1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
2.45 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
32 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 0
307 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Utrecht had 47% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 53%, shots finished 32-9, expected goals 2.45 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Utrecht and 1.00 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Utrecht 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 44%, draw 29%, Sparta Rotterdam 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
14 May 2025
21:00 Willem II vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →
21:00 Groningen vs Ajax Analysis →
21:00 NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda Analysis →
21:00 PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Analysis →
21:00 Twente vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →
21:00 Go Ahead Eagles vs Heerenveen Analysis →