Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 May 2025

Go Ahead Eagles
1-0 HT 0-0
Heerenveen
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.18
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.63
X/2
9%
6.55
X/X
11%
5.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.9
2/2
15%
4.0
2/X
5%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.48/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.42
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.2 Crosses 18.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

Go Ahead Eagles vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 Passes 397
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
17.02.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-2 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
02.09.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 HT 2-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
28.05.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.10.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
15.05.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL

Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1-0
AWAY Heerenveen
1.62 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
355 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles edged past Heerenveen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 50% of the ball to Heerenveen's 50%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.62 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.50 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Heerenveen?

Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 44%, draw 26%, Heerenveen 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
14 May 2025
21:00 Willem II vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →
21:00 Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Analysis →
21:00 Groningen vs Ajax Analysis →
21:00 NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda Analysis →
21:00 PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Analysis →
21:00 Twente vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →