Heerenveen 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Feb 2024

Heerenveen
0-2 HT 0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.51
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
10%
4.42
X/2
10%
7.72
X/X
8%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.9
2/2
11%
5.47
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.1 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 HT 2-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
28.05.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.10.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
15.05.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
18.01.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
13.08.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL

Heerenveen 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
0-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.10 xG 1.57
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
555 Passes 217
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles got the better of Heerenveen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Heerenveen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen had 69% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 31%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.10 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Heerenveen and 1.00 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Heerenveen 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 48%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
17 Feb 2024
20:45 Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Analysis →
20:45 Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →
23:00 PEC Zwolle vs Almere City Analysis →