Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
1-4
HT 1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL
2-3
HT 2-2
Excelsior
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
2-3
HT 1-2
Excelsior
HOL
Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Rotterdam saw off Excelsior 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 49% of the ball to Excelsior's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.61 to 1.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.67 for Excelsior.
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 43%, draw 24%, Excelsior 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.