Heerenveen 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Nov 2024

Heerenveen
1-0 HT 1-0
Go Ahead Eagles
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
12.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.59
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
8%
5.54
X/2
13%
5.76
X/X
12%
4.62
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
3.8
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.28
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.9 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-2 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
02.09.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 HT 2-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
28.05.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.10.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
15.05.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
18.01.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK

Heerenveen 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
1-0
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.17 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
448 Passes 468
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen edged past Go Ahead Eagles 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Heerenveen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Heerenveen had 49% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 51%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.17 to 0.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Go Ahead Eagles.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heerenveen and 1.33 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Heerenveen 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 39%, draw 28%, Go Ahead Eagles 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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