Twente 2-2 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Nov 2024

Twente
2-2 HT 1-0
Ajax
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.0
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
13%
6.17
X/2
7%
5.4
X/X
18%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.31
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
39%
-9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.77/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.51
+16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
18.7 Crosses 21.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajax
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 2.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 443
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Ajax Ajax 2-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
17.09.2023 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 2-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
28.05.2023 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
09.02.2023 Twente Twente 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajax Ajax HOK
14.01.2023 Ajax Ajax 0-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
13.02.2022 Ajax Ajax 5-0 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
2-2
AWAY Ajax
1.80 xG 2.89
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 568
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
27 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente and Ajax shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Twente had 39% of the ball to Ajax's 61%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.80 to 2.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Twente and 1.67 for Ajax.

What was the final score of Twente vs Ajax?

Twente 2-2 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Twente 40%, draw 31%, Ajax 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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