Almere City 1-4 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.3
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
18.35
X/1
8%
14.3
X/2
18%
3.65
X/X
9%
6.08
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.74
2/X
5%
17.4
Value flag · 1/X at 18.35 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 69%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.16/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.00
-41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 82%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
18.7 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.16 xG 2.56
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
224 Passes 426
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.02.2024 Almere City Almere City 0-2 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
27.08.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 6-1 HT 3-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-4
AWAY Feyenoord
0.76 xG 1.72
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 9
178 Passes 449
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord cruised past Almere City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Almere City had 33% of the ball to Feyenoord's 67%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.76 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Almere City and 4.00 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Feyenoord?

Almere City 1-4 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Almere City 20%, draw 24%, Feyenoord 57%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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