Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.24
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.26
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.22
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
6%
24.95
2/2
17%
4.2
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · X/2 at 6.22 — our 17% vs market 12.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +25%
1.43/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.44
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
20.8 Crosses 18.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Utrecht
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 1.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
397 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.11.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
23.05.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.05.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
26.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
04.06.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
2-1
AWAY Utrecht
1.47 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 Passes 414
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam edged past Utrecht 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Sparta Rotterdam made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 45% of the ball to Utrecht's 55%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.47 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.83 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?

Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 22%, Utrecht 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025
13:15 Go Ahead Eagles vs Ajax Analysis →
15:30 Twente vs PSV Eindhoven Analysis →
17:45 Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →
21:00 NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard Analysis →