NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NAC Breda v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
NAC Breda
HOL
2-3
HT 1-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-2
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL2
3-1
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL2
NAC Breda 2-1 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
NAC Breda edged past Fortuna Sittard 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had NAC Breda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, NAC Breda had 39% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 61%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.06 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold NAC Breda's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NAC Breda and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard?
NAC Breda 2-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 44%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NAC Breda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.