Volendam 2-2 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Aug 2025

Volendam
2-2 HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.3
2-3 Goals
36%
2.1
4-5 Goals
29%
2.42
6+ Goals
16%
4.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.37
1/2
7%
17.75
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
8%
13.25
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
4.22
X/X
8%
7.92
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.69
2/X
8%
15.8
Value flag · X/2 at 4.22 — our 25% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
58%
Away Win
65%
-7.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.8pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 70%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.08/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.17
-26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 83%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
16.5 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.81 xG 2.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
299 Passes 411
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Volendam Volendam 0-4 HT 0-2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
04.02.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
30.10.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-1 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
18.01.2009 Volendam Volendam 0-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
25.10.2008 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL

Volendam 2-2 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
2-2
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.45 xG 1.40
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
229 Passes 545
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 44
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam and AZ Alkmaar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AZ Alkmaar at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 34% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 66%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.45 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Volendam and 2.50 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Volendam 2-2 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Volendam 19%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 58%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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