Feyenoord 4-2 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.96
Over
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
6.81
2-3
36%
2.19
4-5
27%
2.43
6+
16%
4.71
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.81 — our 21% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.39
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
22.7
X/1
30%
4.05
X/2
3%
23.1
X/X
7%
10.25
2/1
8%
19.9
2/2
4%
18.2
2/X
3%
26.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.05 — our 30% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Feyenoord The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles The Market 12%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
2.46 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.80
0.79 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.39
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
42.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.2 Crosses 12.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Heracles
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.61 xG 0.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
489 Passes 270
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Heracles Heracles 0-7 HT 0-4 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
03.05.2025 Heracles Heracles 1-4 HT 0-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
14.12.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-2 HT 3-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
10.03.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
17.12.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-4 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
10.04.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-4 HT 1-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
4-2
AWAY Heracles
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
467 Passes 199
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
REVIEW Feyenoord vs Heracles
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Feyenoord took care of Heracles 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we said in the preview, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%) came home.

Under the surface, Feyenoord had 66% of the ball to Heracles's 34%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Feyenoord and 0.67 for Heracles.

Feyenoord vs Heracles Result & Final Score

Feyenoord 4-2 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Feyenoord vs Heracles Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 75%, draw 15%, Heracles 10%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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