Heracles 1-4 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 3 May 2025

Heracles
1-4 HT 0-3
Feyenoord
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heracles vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
14%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.19
1/2
6%
20.55
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
11%
10.75
X/2
16%
4.21
X/X
9%
6.3
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.0
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
15.25
Value flag · 2/X at 15.25 — our 12% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.23/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.98
+14% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.6
18.7 Crosses 21.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Heracles vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.83 xG 2.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
294 Passes 522
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-2 HT 3-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
10.03.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
17.12.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-4 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
10.04.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-4 HT 1-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
01.12.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 1-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
13.05.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL

Heracles 1-4 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
1-4
AWAY Feyenoord
1.49 xG 2.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
275 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord ran out comfortable winners over Heracles 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Heracles had 43% of the ball to Feyenoord's 57%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.49 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Heracles and 3.17 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Feyenoord?

Heracles 1-4 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Heracles 26%, draw 26%, Feyenoord 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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