PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-2
HT 1-0
PSV Eindhoven
HOL
5-0
HT 3-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven ran out comfortable winners over Fortuna Sittard 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 66% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 34%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 3.44 to 0.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.00 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard?
PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 64%, draw 17%, Fortuna Sittard 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.