Feyenoord 5-2 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Dec 2024

Feyenoord
5-2 HT 3-1
Heracles
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Feyenoord vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.98
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.04
2-3 Goals
35%
2.18
4-5 Goals
31%
2.38
6+ Goals
17%
4.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.27
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
33.5
X/1
18%
3.59
X/2
3%
34.5
X/X
6%
12.05
2/1
9%
23.4
2/2
5%
27.0
2/X
5%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
82%
-8.8pp
15%
Draw
11%
+3.9pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+4.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.0pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v Heracles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.53/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.43
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
44.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.7 Crosses 13.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Feyenoord vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Heracles
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.91 xG 0.94
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
537 Passes 298
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
17.12.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-4 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
10.04.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-4 HT 1-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
01.12.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 1-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
13.05.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
20.01.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-2 HT 1-1 Heracles Heracles HOK

Feyenoord 5-2 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
5-2
AWAY Heracles
3.43 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
407 Passes 269
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord swept aside Heracles 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Feyenoord had 59% of the ball to Heracles's 41%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 3.43 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Feyenoord and 0.83 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Heracles?

Feyenoord 5-2 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 73%, draw 15%, Heracles 12%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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