Fortuna Sittard vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
3-1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-2
HT 1-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 3-2 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Sittard edged past RKC Waalwijk 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 54% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 46%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 3.05 to 1.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Sittard's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.17 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs RKC Waalwijk?
Fortuna Sittard 3-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 50%, draw 25%, RKC Waalwijk 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.