Universitatea Craiova 3-1 CFR Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 20%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.40/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-83% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +64%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CFR Cluj
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
417 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 1-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
03.08.2025 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-3 HT 0-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
10.05.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-2 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
07.04.2025 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
03.04.2025 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROK
01.12.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-2 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3-1
AWAY CFR Cluj
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova saw off CFR Cluj 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 57% of the ball to CFR Cluj's 43%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.67 for CFR Cluj.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj?

Universitatea Craiova 3-1 CFR Cluj in the Romania - Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 51%, draw 25%, CFR Cluj 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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